Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFluminense to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Fluminense vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fluminense welcome Corinthians to Estádio do Maracanã for a Serie A fixture on Thursday 2 April (01:30 WAT). In the table, Fluminense are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 34 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fluminense, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Corinthians, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Flamengo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fluminense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Corinthians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.7 xG, Corinthians 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 58%, draw 25%, Corinthians 17%.
Lower-risk option: Fluminense or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–0 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fluminense58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.35
Corinthians17%fair 5.86 · @5.00
2.51Expected goals
1.70Fluminense xG
0.80Corinthians xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.7 – 0.8 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fluminense
Corinthians
Attack vs Serie A average
+22%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.92
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Double chance
Fluminense or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Fluminense (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Corinthians +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Fluminense to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Fluminense – last 6
LWWLWW
19 Mar
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ remo
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Bangu
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
DDDLLD
23 Mar
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Santos
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Cruzeiro
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fluminense vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Corinthians 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–0 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Corinthians?
Fluminense vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
