Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo to win53% · @1.80
Double chanceBotafogo or draw79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.57
Botafogo vs Coritiba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Coritiba travel to face Botafogo on Sunday 12 April in the Serie A, with Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Botafogo are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Coritiba are 12th (lower half) with 42. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Caracas FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Coritiba, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fluminense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 1.6 xG, Coritiba 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 53%, draw 25%, Coritiba 21%.
Lower-risk option: Botafogo or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botafogo or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 1–0 Coritiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo53%fair 1.88 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.45
Coritiba21%fair 4.66 · @4.40
2.57Expected goals
1.58Botafogo xG
0.99Coritiba xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.6 – 1.0 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Botafogo
Coritiba
Attack vs Serie A average
-23%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.39
0.98
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win
53%
1.88
1.80
Double chance
Botafogo or draw
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Botafogo (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Coritiba +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Botafogo to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Botafogo – last 6
DWWLLL
9 Apr
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Mirassol
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
18 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Coritiba – last 5
DDWWL
5 Apr
vs Fluminense
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Corinthians
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Coritiba.
Our pick is Botafogo or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo vs Coritiba?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Coritiba 21%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Coritiba?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Coritiba?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–0 Coritiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Coritiba?
Botafogo vs Coritiba (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
