Internacional 52%Draw 27%Gremio 21%Expected goals 1.49 – 0.91
79%
Betarazi pick
Internacional or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultInternacional to win ✗52% · @1.90
Double chanceInternacional or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Internacional vs Gremio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Serie A brings Internacional against Gremio at Estádio Beira-Rio. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Gremio are 18th (in the drop zone) with 37. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Internacional, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Corinthians, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gremio, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Torque, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.5 xG, Gremio 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 52%, draw 27%, Gremio 21%.
Lower-risk option: Internacional or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Internacional or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–0 Gremio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional52%fair 1.91 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.50
Gremio21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
2.39Expected goals
1.49Internacional xG
0.91Gremio xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.5 – 0.9 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Internacional
Gremio
Attack vs Serie A average
-15%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.33
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✗
52%
1.91
1.90
Double chance
Internacional or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Draw no bet
Internacional (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Gremio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
First team to score
Internacional to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional / FT Internacional✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Internacional – last 6
WDWLLD
5 Apr
@ Corinthians
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Santos
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Bahia
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gremio – last 6
LDLWDD
9 Apr
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Remo
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Vitoria
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs RB Bragantino
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Gremio.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Gremio?
Our pick is Internacional or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Internacional vs Gremio?
On our numbers Internacional have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gremio 21%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Gremio?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Gremio?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Gremio?
Internacional vs Gremio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
