Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.12
RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Serie A brings RB Bragantino against Palmeiras. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, RB Bragantino are 8th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd (among the top four) with 73. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
RB Bragantino, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mirassol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Palmeiras, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Jacuipense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for RB Bragantino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RB Bragantino 1.0 xG, Palmeiras 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RB Bragantino 29%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 45%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Palmeiras to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Bragantino 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RB Bragantino29%fair 3.49 · @2.95
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.25
Palmeiras45%fair 2.24 · @2.38
2.43Expected goals
1.01RB Bragantino xG
1.43Palmeiras xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: RB Bragantino 1.0 – 1.4 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
Attack vs Serie A average
+2%
+41%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
-42%
Our expected goals here
0.90
1.42
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win
45%
2.24
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
RB Bragantino +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
RB Bragantino – last 6
DWLWWL
23 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Blooming
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Flamengo
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Bahia
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palmeiras – last 6
WWDWWW
23 Apr
vs Jacuipense
3–0
W
16 Apr
vs Sporting Cristal
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Junior
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Bahia
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Gremio
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Sao Paulo
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Bragantino and Palmeiras.
What is the prediction for RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers RB Bragantino have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Palmeiras 45%.
How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is RB Bragantino 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras?
RB Bragantino vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
