Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.21
Sao Paulo vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mirassol travel to face Sao Paulo on Sunday 26 April in the Serie A, with Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Sao Paulo are 10th, upper half, on 44 points after 34 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
Sao Paulo, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventude, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mirassol, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with RB Bragantino, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sao Paulo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Mirassol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sao Paulo 1.4 xG, Mirassol 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Paulo 50%, draw 27%, Mirassol 23%.
Lower-risk option: Sao Paulo or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sao Paulo50%fair 2.00 · @1.93
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.30
Mirassol23%fair 4.43 · @4.00
2.30Expected goals
1.38Sao Paulo xG
0.92Mirassol xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sao Paulo 1.4 – 0.9 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Attack vs Serie A average
-22%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Paulo to win✓
50%
2.00
1.93
Double chance
Sao Paulo or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Sao Paulo (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Mirassol +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Sao Paulo to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Paulo / FT Sao Paulo✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.21
–
Recent results
Sao Paulo – last 6
WWWDLL
21 Apr
vs Juventude
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Internacional
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Palmeiras
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mirassol – last 6
DWLWLL
23 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Internacional
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ LDU de Quito
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Lanus
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs RB Bragantino
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Botafogo
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Paulo and Mirassol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Sao Paulo have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mirassol 23%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Paulo vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Paulo vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sao Paulo vs Mirassol?
Sao Paulo vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
