Internacional 38%Draw 27%Fluminense 35%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.24
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Fluminense to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultInternacional to win38% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.63
Internacional vs Fluminense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fluminense travel to face Internacional on Sunday 3 May in the Serie A – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Fluminense are 4th (among the top four) with 57. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Internacional, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Athletic Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Fluminense, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bolívar, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Internacional, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Fluminense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.2 xG, Fluminense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 38%, draw 27%, Fluminense 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Fluminense to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–1 Fluminense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional38%fair 2.64 · @2.22
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Fluminense35%fair 2.83 · @3.25
2.47Expected goals
1.23Internacional xG
1.24Fluminense xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.2 – 1.2 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Internacional
Fluminense
Attack vs Serie A average
-15%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.20
1.32
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win
38%
2.64
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Internacional (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Internacional +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Fluminense to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.63
–
Recent results
Internacional – last 6
WLDWDW
23 Apr
@ Athletic Club
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Gremio
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Corinthians
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Santos
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 6
LDLDDW
30 Apr
@ Bolívar
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Operario-PR
0–0
D
16 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Coritiba
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Corinthians
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Fluminense.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Internacional vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Internacional have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fluminense 35%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–1 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Fluminense?
Internacional vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
