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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gremio v Internacional: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Arena do Grêmio

Gremio

DDLLL
1–1
FT
Gremio 37%Draw 23%Internacional 40% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.23
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1

Value bet: Gremio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultInternacional to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.49

Gremio vs Internacional: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Internacional travel to face Gremio on Sunday 11 October in the Serie A, with Arena do Grêmio the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Gremio are 18th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 34 matches; Internacional are 16th (lower half) with 38. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Gremio, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Remo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Internacional, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Corinthians, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Sep 2026) it ended Gremio 3–1 Internacional. The last 3 head-to-heads: Gremio 1 win, Internacional 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 1.2 xG, Internacional 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 37%, draw 23%, Internacional 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Gremio to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 1–1 Internacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gremio37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Internacional40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
2.40Expected goals
1.17Gremio xG
1.23Internacional xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Gremio 1.2 – 1.2 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInternacional to win ✗40%2.522.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.75
Draw no betInternacional (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapGremio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreInternacional to score first ✓46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Internacional / FT Internacional ✗21%4.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.49–

Recent results

Gremio – last 6

DDLLLW
7 Oct@ Remo1–1D
20 Sepvs Palmeiras0–0D
16 Sep@ Botafogo2–3L
12 Sepvs Vasco DA Gama1–2L
8 Sep@ Vitoria0–1L
4 Sepvs Internacional3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Internacional – last 6

WLWLLL
7 Octvs Corinthians2–1W
20 Sep@ Sao Paulo0–1L
12 Sep@ Chapecoense-sc2–1W
6 Sepvs Santos2–3L
4 Sep@ Gremio1–3L
30 Aug@ Bahia2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Sep 2026Gremio v Internacional3–1
28 Aug 2026Internacional v Gremio0–0
12 Apr 2026Internacional v Gremio0–0
Gremio vs Internacional head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gremio vs Internacional?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Gremio vs Internacional?

On our numbers Gremio have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Internacional 40%.

How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Internacional?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Internacional?

Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Gremio vs Internacional?

Gremio vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.