Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1
Value bet: Gremio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultInternacional to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Gremio vs Internacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Internacional travel to face Gremio on Sunday 11 October in the Serie A, with Arena do Grêmio the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Gremio are 18th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 34 matches; Internacional are 16th (lower half) with 38. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gremio, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Remo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Internacional, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Corinthians, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Sep 2026) it ended Gremio 3–1 Internacional. The last 3 head-to-heads: Gremio 1 win, Internacional 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 1.2 xG, Internacional 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 37%, draw 23%, Internacional 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Gremio to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 1–1 Internacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Internacional40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
2.40Expected goals
1.17Gremio xG
1.23Internacional xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.2 – 1.2 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Internacional?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gremio vs Internacional?
On our numbers Gremio have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Internacional 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Internacional?
Gremio vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.