Value bet: Necaxa to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Juarez to win ✗41% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
FC Juarez vs Necaxa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Juarez welcome Necaxa to Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 15 February (02:06 WAT). In the table, FC Juarez are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; Necaxa are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Juarez 1.4 xG, Necaxa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Juarez 41%, draw 26%, Necaxa 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Necaxa to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Juarez 1–1 Necaxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Juarez41%fair 2.46 · @2.12
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.35
Necaxa33%fair 3.00 · @3.35
2.79Expected goals
1.44FC Juarez xG
1.35Necaxa xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.4 – 1.3 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Juarez
Necaxa
Attack vs Liga MX average
-25%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.28
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Juarez to win✗
41%
2.46
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
FC Juarez (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Necaxa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
FC Juarez to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Juarez / FT FC Juarez✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
FC Juarez
No recent results on record.
Necaxa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Juarez and Necaxa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Necaxa?
On our numbers FC Juarez have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Necaxa 33%.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is FC Juarez 1–1 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Juarez vs Necaxa?
FC Juarez vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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