Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas welcome Club America to Estadio Akron for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 15 February (04:07 WAT). In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Club America are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 xG, Club America 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 44%, draw 25%, Club America 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Club America. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas44%fair 2.30 · @2.24
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.25
Club America31%fair 3.18 · @3.20
2.86Expected goals
1.57Guadalajara Chivas xG
1.30Club America xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 1.6 – 1.3 Club America expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
Attack vs Liga MX average
+8%
+42%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.80
1.49
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
44%
2.30
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Club America +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.07
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✓
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Guadalajara Chivas
No recent results on record.
Club America
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas and Club America.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Club America 31%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Club America, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 04:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leon0