On Sunday 15 February the Liga MX brings Pachuca against Atlas at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Pachuca are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Atlas are 5th (upper half) with 27.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pachuca 1.9 xG, Atlas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pachuca 58%, draw 23%, Atlas 18%.
Lower-risk option: Pachuca or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pachuca 1–1 Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pachuca58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.55
Atlas18%fair 5.41 · @4.80
2.92Expected goals
1.90Pachuca xG
1.02Atlas xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pachuca 1.9 – 1.0 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pachuca
Atlas
Attack vs Liga MX average
+17%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.14
1.21
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Pachuca or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Pachuca (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Atlas +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
Pachuca to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Pachuca ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Pachuca
No recent results on record.
Atlas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca and Atlas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Pachuca vs Atlas?
On our numbers Pachuca have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlas 18%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca vs Atlas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Pachuca 1–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pachuca vs Atlas?
Pachuca vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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