Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 2.26 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓49% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul welcome Tigres UANL to Estadio Azteca for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 15 February (23:30 WAT). In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Tigres UANL are 15th (lower half) with 15. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 1.9 xG, Tigres UANL 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 49%, draw 25%, Tigres UANL 26%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Cruz Azul to win @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 1–1 Tigres UANL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul49%fair 2.04 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.05
Tigres UANL26%fair 3.82 · @3.30
3.02Expected goals
1.86Cruz Azul xG
1.15Tigres UANL xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 1.9 – 1.2 Tigres UANL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-2%
Our expected goals here
2.20
1.12
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
49%
2.04
2.26 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Tigres UANL +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Vancouver FC
5–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tigres UANL
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Tigres UANL.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tigres UANL 26%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 1–1 Tigres UANL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL?
Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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