Atletico San Luis 46%Draw 23%Santos Laguna 31%Expected goals 1.49 – 1.38
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Santos Laguna to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico San Luis to win ✓46% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Liga MX brings Atletico San Luis against Santos Laguna at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico San Luis are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Santos Laguna are 6th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Atletico San Luis, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to U.N.A.M. - Pumas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Santos Laguna, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico San Luis 1.5 xG, Santos Laguna 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico San Luis 46%, draw 23%, Santos Laguna 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Santos Laguna to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Santos Laguna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico San Luis46%fair 2.16 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.85
Santos Laguna31%fair 3.21 · @3.55
2.88Expected goals
1.49Atletico San Luis xG
1.38Santos Laguna xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.5 – 1.4 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico San Luis
Santos Laguna
Attack vs Liga MX average
-18%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.33
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico San Luis to win✓
46%
2.16
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Draw no bet
Atletico San Luis (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Santos Laguna +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
First team to score
Atletico San Luis to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico San Luis / FT Atletico San Luis✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Atletico San Luis – last 6
LDWLDL
18 Apr
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Toluca
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Monterrey
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Leon
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Pachuca
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna – last 6
LLDWLW
20 Apr
vs Atlas
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Pachuca
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs Club America
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
9 Mar
@ Club Tijuana
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santos Laguna 31%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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