Club Tijuana vs Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pachuca travel to face Club Tijuana on Thursday 23 April in the Liga MX, with Estadio Caliente the venue – the ball rolls at 04:06 WAT. In the table, Club Tijuana are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Pachuca are 8th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Club Tijuana, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cruz Azul, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Pachuca, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Monterrey, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Pachuca, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Club Tijuana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Tijuana 1.3 xG, Pachuca 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Tijuana 34%, draw 25%, Pachuca 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Tijuana 1–1 Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Tijuana34%fair 2.91 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Pachuca41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
2.75Expected goals
1.31Club Tijuana xG
1.44Pachuca xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 1.3 – 1.4 Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club Tijuana
Pachuca
Attack vs Liga MX average
+0%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.34
1.47
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✗
41%
2.45
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Pachuca (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Club Tijuana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Pachuca to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Club Tijuana – last 6
DWLWLL
19 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Necaxa
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Leon
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Atlas
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pachuca – last 6
WWWDDW
19 Apr
@ Monterrey
3–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santos Laguna
4–2
W
5 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Toluca
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Tijuana and Pachuca.
What is the prediction for Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pachuca 41%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–1 Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Pachuca?
Club Tijuana vs Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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