Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTigres UANL to win ✓63% · @1.18
Double chanceTigres UANL or draw ✓82% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Tigres UANL v Mazatlán in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Universitario (UANL).
Current form
Tigres UANL, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atlas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Mazatlán, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Toluca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL 1.9 xG, Mazatlán 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL 63%, draw 19%, Mazatlán 18%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL 2–1 Mazatlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigres UANL63%fair 1.60 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @6.20
Mazatlán18%fair 5.55 · @17.00
3.08Expected goals
1.88Tigres UANL xG
1.20Mazatlán xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.9 – 1.2 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
Attack vs Liga MX average
-17%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.52
1.42
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✓
63%
1.60
1.18
Double chance
Tigres UANL or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Mazatlán +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.33
First team to score
Tigres UANL to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Tigres UANL ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Tigres UANL – last 6
DDLWWL
23 Apr
@ Atlas
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Necaxa
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Guadalajara Chivas
4–1
W
9 Apr
vs Seattle Sounders
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Club Tijuana
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mazatlán – last 6
WDLDLW
23 Apr
vs Toluca
4–3
W
18 Apr
vs Club Queretaro
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Necaxa
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Club America
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Leon
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL and Mazatlán.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mazatlán 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 2–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán?
Tigres UANL vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario (UANL).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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