FC Juarez 46%Draw 24%Atletico San Luis 30%Expected goals 1.48 – 1.40
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Atletico San Luis to win @ 3.55 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Juarez to win ✓46% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.59
FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico San Luis travel to face FC Juarez on Sunday 26 April in the Liga MX, with Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez the venue – the ball rolls at 04:00 WAT. In the table, FC Juarez are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; Atletico San Luis are 14th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
FC Juarez, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to U.N.A.M. - Pumas, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Atletico San Luis, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Santos Laguna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Juarez 1.5 xG, Atletico San Luis 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Juarez 46%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 30%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Atletico San Luis to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Juarez 1–1 Atletico San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Juarez46%fair 2.17 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.80
Atletico San Luis30%fair 3.30 · @3.55
2.88Expected goals
1.48FC Juarez xG
1.40Atletico San Luis xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.5 – 1.4 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Juarez
Atletico San Luis
Attack vs Liga MX average
-25%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.42
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Juarez to win✓
46%
2.17
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Draw no bet
FC Juarez (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Atletico San Luis +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
First team to score
FC Juarez to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Juarez / FT FC Juarez✓
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
FC Juarez – last 6
LLDDWD
22 Apr
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–4
L
19 Apr
@ Leon
1–3
L
8 Apr
@ Club Queretaro
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Puebla
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Monterrey
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico San Luis – last 6
WLDWLD
23 Apr
vs Santos Laguna
2–0
W
18 Apr
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Toluca
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Monterrey
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Leon
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Pachuca
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis.
What is the prediction for FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis?
On our numbers FC Juarez have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico San Luis 30%.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis?
Our predicted score is FC Juarez 1–1 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis?
FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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