Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 58% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultClub America to win ✗62% · @1.62
Double chanceClub America or draw ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Club America vs Atlas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club America welcome Atlas to Estadio Azteca for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 26 April (04:10 WAT). In the table, Club America are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Atlas are 5th (upper half) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Club America, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Leon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Atlas, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tigres UANL, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club America 2.1 xG, Atlas 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club America 62%, draw 21%, Atlas 17%.
Lower-risk option: Club America or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club America 2–1 Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club America62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.65
Atlas17%fair 5.88 · @5.60
3.20Expected goals
2.10Club America xG
1.10Atlas xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Club America 2.1 – 1.1 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club America
Atlas
Attack vs Liga MX average
+42%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.61
1.51
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club America to win✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Club America or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Club America (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Club America -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.08
First team to score
Club America to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Club America ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club America / FT Club America✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Club America – last 6
WWLDDD
22 Apr
@ Leon
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Toluca
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Cruz Azul
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Nashville SC
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Santos Laguna
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlas – last 6
DWDLDD
23 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Santos Laguna
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Monterrey
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Leon
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Club Queretaro
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Toluca
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club America and Atlas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Club America vs Atlas?
On our numbers Club America have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlas 17%.
How many goals will there be in Club America vs Atlas?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club America vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Club America 2–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Club America vs Atlas?
Club America vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1
Leon1