Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✗60% · @1.40
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas welcome Club Tijuana to Estadio Akron for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 26 April (02:07 WAT). In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Club Tijuana are 9th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Necaxa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Club Tijuana, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pachuca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 1.9 xG, Club Tijuana 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 60%, draw 23%, Club Tijuana 17%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas60%fair 1.67 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.85
Club Tijuana17%fair 5.83 · @6.75
2.90Expected goals
1.86Guadalajara Chivas xG
1.04Club Tijuana xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 1.9 – 1.0 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
Attack vs Liga MX average
+8%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.05
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✗
60%
1.67
1.40
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Club Tijuana +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Guadalajara Chivas – last 6
DWLDWW
23 Apr
@ Necaxa
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Puebla
5–0
W
12 Apr
@ Tigres UANL
1–4
L
6 Apr
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Leon
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Club Tijuana – last 6
WDWLWL
23 Apr
vs Pachuca
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Tigres UANL
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Necaxa
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Leon
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas and Club Tijuana.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Tijuana 17%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 02:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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