Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 3.85 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✗45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Drogheda United welcome Shamrock Rovers to Weavers Park for a Premier Division fixture on Monday 16 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Shamrock Rovers are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Drogheda United, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Shamrock Rovers, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sligo Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Drogheda United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 1.2 xG, Shamrock Rovers 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 29%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 45%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Drogheda United to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Drogheda United29%fair 3.42 · @3.85
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.35
Shamrock Rovers45%fair 2.20 · @1.96
2.68Expected goals
1.22Drogheda United xG
1.46Shamrock Rovers xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.2 – 1.5 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shamrock Rovers to win✗
45%
2.20
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Shamrock Rovers (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Drogheda United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Shamrock Rovers to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Drogheda United – last 4
LLDW
13 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
27 Feb
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Dundalk
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Waterford
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shamrock Rovers – last 6
WDWLDW
13 Mar
@ Sligo Rovers
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Shelbourne
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Derry City
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Bohemians
2–3
L
23 Feb
vs Dundalk
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Drogheda United and Shamrock Rovers.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 45%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
