Value bet: Bohemians to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✗38% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Shelbourne vs Bohemians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Monday 16 March: Shelbourne v Bohemians in the Premier Division, played at Tolka Park. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Bohemians are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Derry City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Bohemians, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Galway United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bohemians, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.6 for Shelbourne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.4 xG, Bohemians 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 38%, draw 27%, Bohemians 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Bohemians to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 Bohemians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne38%fair 2.62 · @2.48
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.94
Bohemians35%fair 2.86 · @3.05
2.75Expected goals
1.41Shelbourne xG
1.34Bohemians xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.4 – 1.3 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✗
38%
2.62
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Shelbourne (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Bohemians +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Shelbourne to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Shelbourne – last 5
WDLWD
13 Mar
@ Derry City
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Drogheda United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Galway United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Bohemians – last 4
WWWW
13 Mar
vs Galway United
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Waterford
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Shamrock Rovers
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Derry City
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Bohemians.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bohemians 35%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Bohemians?
Shelbourne vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
