Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sligo Rovers travel to face Dundalk on Monday 16 March in the Premier Division, with Oriel Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dundalk, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Galway United, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Sligo Rovers, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 2.1 xG, Sligo Rovers 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 61%, draw 22%, Sligo Rovers 17%.
Lower-risk option: Dundalk or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 2–1 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk61%fair 1.64 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.85
Sligo Rovers17%fair 5.92 · @5.75
3.06Expected goals
2.06Dundalk xG
1.00Sligo Rovers xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dundalk 2.1 – 1.0 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundalk to win✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Double chance
Dundalk or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.83
Draw no bet
Dundalk (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Dundalk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
Dundalk to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Dundalk ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dundalk / FT Dundalk✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Dundalk – last 5
DLDDD
6 Mar
@ Galway United
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–4
L
23 Feb
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Drogheda United
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Derry City
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers – last 3
LLD
13 Mar
vs Shamrock Rovers
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Galway United
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Waterford
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dundalk and Sligo Rovers.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sligo Rovers 17%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 2–1 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
