Value bet: Waterford to win @ 3.95 – our chance 28% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGalway United to win ✓46% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Galway United vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 16 March the Premier Division brings Galway United against Waterford at Eamonn Deacy Park. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Galway United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Galway United, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bohemians, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Waterford, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bohemians, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Galway United, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Waterford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Galway United 1.4 xG, Waterford 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Galway United 46%, draw 26%, Waterford 28%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Waterford to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Galway United 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Galway United46%fair 2.17 · @1.84
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.65
Waterford28%fair 3.54 · @3.95
2.58Expected goals
1.37Galway United xG
1.21Waterford xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Galway United 1.4 – 1.2 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galway United to win✓
46%
2.17
1.84
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Draw no bet
Galway United (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Waterford +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.13
First team to score
Galway United to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galway United / FT Galway United✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Galway United – last 5
LDLWD
13 Mar
@ Bohemians
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Dundalk
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ St Patrick's Athl.
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Shelbourne
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Waterford – last 4
LLDL
6 Mar
vs Bohemians
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Derry City
2–4
L
20 Feb
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ Drogheda United
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Galway United and Waterford.
What is the prediction for Galway United vs Waterford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Galway United vs Waterford?
On our numbers Galway United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Waterford 28%.
How many goals will there be in Galway United vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Galway United vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Galway United 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Galway United vs Waterford?
Galway United vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Eamonn Deacy Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
