Value bet: Shelbourne to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBohemians to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Bohemians vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bohemians welcome Shelbourne to Dalymount Park for a Premier Division fixture on Monday 4 May (17:00 WAT). In the table, Bohemians are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 36 matches; Shelbourne are 4th (among the top four) with 49. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bohemians, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Derry City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Shelbourne, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dundalk, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Shelbourne 0–0 Bohemians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bohemians 1.6 xG, Shelbourne 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bohemians 47%, draw 25%, Shelbourne 29%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Shelbourne to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bohemians 1–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bohemians47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.30
Shelbourne29%fair 3.51 · @3.75
2.79Expected goals
1.61Bohemians xG
1.18Shelbourne xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.6 – 1.2 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shelbourne 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
Bohemians vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
