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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sligo Rovers v St Patrick's Athl.: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Showgrounds
1–1
FT
Sligo Rovers 19%Draw 24%St Patrick's Athl. 57% Expected goals 0.84 – 1.65
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗57% · @1.69
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.28

Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: Sligo Rovers v St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division, played at Showgrounds. In the table, Sligo Rovers are 10th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sligo Rovers, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Drogheda United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Galway United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Sligo Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 4–1 Sligo Rovers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sligo Rovers 0.8 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sligo Rovers 19%, draw 24%, St Patrick's Athl. 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (81%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sligo Rovers19%fair 5.16 · @4.85
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.65
St Patrick's Athl.57%fair 1.77 · @1.69
2.49Expected goals
0.84Sligo Rovers xG
1.65St Patrick's Athl. xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–111%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 0.8 – 1.6 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗57%1.771.69
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.83
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet)74%1.34–
Asian handicapSligo Rovers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.141.10
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✗35%2.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.28–

Recent results

Sligo Rovers – last 6

LWDLLL
1 May@ Drogheda United0–1L
10 Apr@ Bohemians2–1W
6 Aprvs Derry City0–0D
3 Apr@ St Patrick's Athl.1–4L
16 Mar@ Dundalk0–1L
13 Marvs Shamrock Rovers0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

DWWLLW
1 May@ Galway United2–2D
24 Aprvs Bohemians3–1W
17 Apr@ Drogheda United3–1W
10 Aprvs Shamrock Rovers0–1L
6 Apr@ Dundalk0–2L
3 Aprvs Sligo Rovers4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026St Patrick's Athl. v Sligo Rovers4–1
Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St Patrick's Athl. 57%.

How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.