Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultDundalk to win ✗46% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Waterford vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waterford welcome Dundalk to Regional Sports Centre for a Premier Division fixture on Monday 4 May (17:00 WAT). In the table, Waterford are 7th, lower half, on 43 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Waterford, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Dundalk, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shelbourne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Waterford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 1.7 xG, Dundalk 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 33%, draw 22%, Dundalk 46%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterford33%fair 3.07 · @4.55
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.10
Dundalk46%fair 2.18 · @1.65
3.25Expected goals
1.67Waterford xG
1.58Dundalk xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Waterford 1.7 – 1.6 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dundalk to win✗
46%
2.18
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Draw no bet
Dundalk (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Dundalk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Waterford to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waterford / FT Waterford✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Waterford – last 6
LDDDLL
1 May
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Galway United
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Bohemians
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Shamrock Rovers
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs St Patrick's Athl.
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Galway United
3–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dundalk – last 6
LWDWWD
1 May
vs Shelbourne
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Galway United
2–1
W
10 Apr
vs Derry City
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs St Patrick's Athl.
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Shelbourne
3–2
W
20 Mar
@ Bohemians
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waterford and Dundalk.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Waterford vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Waterford have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundalk 46%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Dundalk?
Waterford vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
