Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✓59% · @1.48
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the Premier Division brings Shamrock Rovers against Drogheda United at Tallaght Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shamrock Rovers, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Waterford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Drogheda United, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sligo Rovers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Drogheda United.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Drogheda United 0–0 Shamrock Rovers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shamrock Rovers 1.7 xG, Drogheda United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shamrock Rovers 59%, draw 23%, Drogheda United 19%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shamrock Rovers59%fair 1.71 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.00
Drogheda United19%fair 5.34 · @7.00
2.72Expected goals
1.74Shamrock Rovers xG
0.97Drogheda United xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.7 – 1.0 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Drogheda United 19%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
