Derry City 55%Draw 25%Galway United 20%Expected goals 1.64 – 0.94
80%
Betarazi pick
Derry City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultDerry City to win ✗55% · @1.81
Double chanceDerry City or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Derry City vs Galway United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Galway United travel to face Derry City on Monday 4 May in the Premier Division, with The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Galway United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bohemians, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Galway United, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with St Patrick's Athl., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Galway United 2–1 Derry City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.6 xG, Galway United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 55%, draw 25%, Galway United 20%.
Lower-risk option: Derry City or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Derry City or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–0 Galway United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City55%fair 1.82 · @1.81
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.55
Galway United20%fair 5.08 · @4.30
2.58Expected goals
1.64Derry City xG
0.94Galway United xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.6 – 0.9 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs Galway United?
Our pick is Derry City or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Derry City vs Galway United?
On our numbers Derry City have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Galway United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs Galway United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs Galway United?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–0 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs Galway United?
Derry City vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
