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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Lorenzo v Platense: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Pedro Bidegain
0–2
FT
San Lorenzo 39%Draw 26%Platense 35% Expected goals 1.01 – 0.95
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: Platense to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✗39% · @2.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.66

San Lorenzo vs Platense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: San Lorenzo v Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Pedro Bidegain. In the table, San Lorenzo are 18th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Platense are 24th (lower half) with 36.

Current form

San Lorenzo, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Velez Sarsfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Platense, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Central Cordoba de Santiago, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Platense 0–1 San Lorenzo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo 1.0 xG, Platense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo 39%, draw 26%, Platense 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Platense to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo 1–0 Platense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Lorenzo39%fair 2.59 · @2.67
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.85
Platense35%fair 2.82 · @3.05
1.96Expected goals
1.01San Lorenzo xG
0.95Platense xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: San Lorenzo 1.0 – 1.0 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Lorenzo to win ✗39%2.592.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.15 ▲
Draw no betSan Lorenzo (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapPlatense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.691.60
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.481.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.191.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.05
First team to scoreSan Lorenzo to score first ✗44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.66–

Recent results

San Lorenzo – last 6

DDWWLL
31 Oct@ Velez Sarsfield2–2D
24 Octvs Newells Old Boys0–0D
18 Oct@ Estudiantes L.P.2–1W
11 Octvs Deportivo Riestra1–0W
3 Oct@ Defensa Y Justicia0–3L
20 Sepvs Boca Juniors0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Platense – last 6

WDWLDD
2 Novvs Central Cordoba de Santiago2–0W
29 Oct@ Atletico Tucuman1–1D
23 Oct@ Gimnasia M.2–1W
17 Octvs Lanus0–1L
11 Octvs Argentinos JRS1–1D
5 Oct@ Velez Sarsfield2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Platense v San Lorenzo0–1
San Lorenzo vs Platense head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Platense?

On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Platense 35%.

How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Platense?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Platense?

Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 1–0 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Lorenzo vs Platense?

San Lorenzo vs Platense (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.