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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigre v Sarmiento Junin: numbers & prediction

Tigre

WLDLL
1–0
FT
Tigre 60%Draw 27%Sarmiento Junin 13% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.63
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultTigre to win ✓60% · @1.75
Double chanceTigre or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.86

Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tigre welcome Sarmiento Junin for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Sunday 8 November (22:00 WAT). In the table, Tigre are 20th, lower half, on 39 points after 32 matches; Sarmiento Junin are 19th (lower half) with 40. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tigre, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Huracan, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sarmiento Junin, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rosario Central, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Tigre.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigre 1.6 xG, Sarmiento Junin 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigre 60%, draw 27%, Sarmiento Junin 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tigre or draw (87%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigre 2–0 Sarmiento Junin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigre60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.20
Sarmiento Junin13%fair 7.66 · @4.75
2.25Expected goals
1.62Tigre xG
0.63Sarmiento Junin xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Tigre 1.6 – 0.6 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigre to win ✓60%1.661.75 ▲
Double chanceTigre or draw ✓87%1.151.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.57
Draw no betTigre (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapTigre -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.561.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreTigre to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigre / FT Tigre ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.86–

Recent results

Tigre – last 6

WLDLLL
30 Oct@ Huracan2–0W
24 Octvs Atletico Tucuman0–1L
17 Oct@ Independ. Rivadavia2–2D
10 Octvs Banfield1–2L
4 Oct@ Argentinos JRS1–2L
21 Sep@ Velez Sarsfield2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sarmiento Junin – last 6

LLDDWL
31 Octvs Rosario Central1–2L
23 Oct@ Gimnasia L.P.0–2L
19 Octvs Barracas Central1–1D
14 Octvs River Plate1–1D
9 Oct@ Aldosivi3–1W
19 Sep@ Racing Club1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Sarmiento Junin v Tigre1–0
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

On our numbers Tigre have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sarmiento Junin 13%.

How many goals will there be in Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our predicted score is Tigre 2–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?

Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.