América W 63%Draw 19%Pachuca W 18%Expected goals 2.69 – 1.26
82%
Betarazi pick
América W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: América W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmérica W to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
América W vs Pachuca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 April the Liga MX Femenil brings América W against Pachuca W at Estadio Azteca. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, América W are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 14 matches; Pachuca W are 10th (lower half) with 19. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
América W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Querétaro W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pachuca W, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 5–4 win over León W, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give América W 2.7 xG, Pachuca W 1.3 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – América W 63%, draw 19%, Pachuca W 18%.
Lower-risk option: América W or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: América W to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was América W or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: América W 2–1 Pachuca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
América W63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
Pachuca W18%fair 5.47 · @3.65
3.95Expected goals
2.69América W xG
1.26Pachuca W xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: América W 2.7 – 1.3 Pachuca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
América W
Pachuca W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+108%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
-17%
Our expected goals here
3.23
1.24
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
América W or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Draw no bet
América W (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
América W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.25
First team to score
América W to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
América W – last 6
WWWWWL
5 Apr
@ Querétaro W
4–1
W
2 Apr
vs Atlas W
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Tigres UANL W
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Toluca W
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs León W
4–2
W
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pachuca W – last 6
WWLDWW
6 Apr
vs León W
5–4
W
3 Apr
@ Santos Laguna W
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Tijuana W
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Juárez W
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América W and Pachuca W.
What is the prediction for América W vs Pachuca W?
Our pick is América W or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win América W vs Pachuca W?
On our numbers América W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pachuca W 18%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs Pachuca W?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs Pachuca W?
Our predicted score is América W 2–1 Pachuca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is América W vs Pachuca W?
América W vs Pachuca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0