Puebla W 67%Draw 20%Necaxa W 13%Expected goals 2.48 – 1.01
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPuebla W to win67% · @1.58
Double chancePuebla W or draw87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.56
Puebla W vs Necaxa W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 25 April: Puebla W v Necaxa W in the Liga MX Femenil. In the table, Puebla W are 17th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 14 matches; Necaxa W are 18th (in the drop zone) with 1. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Puebla W, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Pumas UNAM W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Necaxa W, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Juárez W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puebla W 2.5 xG, Necaxa W 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla W 67%, draw 20%, Necaxa W 13%.
Lower-risk option: Puebla W or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla W 2–1 Necaxa W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puebla W67%fair 1.50 · @1.58
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.20
Necaxa W13%fair 7.44 · @4.90
3.49Expected goals
2.48Puebla W xG
1.01Necaxa W xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–18%
1–08%
From our goals model: Puebla W 2.5 – 1.0 Necaxa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Puebla W
Necaxa W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-17%
-57%
Goals conceded vs average
+54%
+90%
Our expected goals here
2.94
1.09
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puebla W to win
67%
1.50
1.58 ▲
Double chance
Puebla W or draw
87%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.70
Draw no bet
Puebla W (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Puebla W -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
59%
1.68
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.17
First team to score
Puebla W to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Puebla W ahead at half-time
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puebla W / FT Puebla W
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Puebla W – last 6
DDLLLL
5 Apr
@ Pumas UNAM W
2–2
D
1 Apr
vs Querétaro W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLDLL
2 Apr
vs Juárez W
0–6
L
28 Mar
@ Atlas W
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Cruz Azul W
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Santos Laguna W
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla W and Necaxa W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Puebla W vs Necaxa W?
On our numbers Puebla W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Necaxa W 13%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla W vs Necaxa W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla W vs Necaxa W?
Our predicted score is Puebla W 2–1 Necaxa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Puebla W vs Necaxa W?
Puebla W vs Necaxa W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0