Guadalajara W 49%Draw 23%Toluca W 29%Expected goals 1.87 – 1.31
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara W to win ✗49% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Guadalajara W vs Toluca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:06 WAT, Saturday 25 April: Guadalajara W v Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio Akron. In the table, Guadalajara W are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 14 matches; Toluca W are 6th (upper half) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guadalajara W, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juárez W, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Toluca W, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Cruz Azul W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara W 1.9 xG, Toluca W 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara W 49%, draw 23%, Toluca W 29%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara W 1–1 Toluca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara W49%fair 2.06 · @2.06
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.70
Toluca W29%fair 3.46 · @3.15
3.18Expected goals
1.87Guadalajara W xG
1.31Toluca W xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Guadalajara W 1.9 – 1.3 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara W
Toluca W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+14%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
-3%
Our expected goals here
2.07
1.32
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara W to win✗
49%
2.06
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Draw no bet
Guadalajara W (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Toluca W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Guadalajara W to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara W ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara W / FT Guadalajara W✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Guadalajara W – last 6
DDWDDD
21 Apr
@ Juárez W
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Tigres UANL W
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Mazatlán W
1–0
W
30 Mar
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Monterrey W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Toluca W – last 6
LDWWLW
5 Apr
vs Cruz Azul W
0–4
L
1 Apr
@ León W
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Mazatlán W
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
17 Mar
@ América W
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara W and Toluca W.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Guadalajara W have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Toluca W 29%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara W 1–1 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara W vs Toluca W?
Guadalajara W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0