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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tijuana W v Mazatlán W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Estadio Caliente
2–0
FT
Tijuana W 59%Draw 20%Mazatlán W 21% Expected goals 1.85 – 1.44
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTijuana W to win ✓59% · @1.21
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Tijuana W vs Mazatlán W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tijuana W welcome Mazatlán W to Estadio Caliente for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Saturday 25 April (04:00 WAT).

Current form

Tijuana W, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tigres UANL W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Mazatlán W, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético San Luis W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tijuana W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Mazatlán W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tijuana W 1.8 xG, Mazatlán W 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tijuana W 59%, draw 20%, Mazatlán W 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tijuana W 2–1 Mazatlán W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tijuana W59%fair 1.70 · @1.21
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @6.20
Mazatlán W21%fair 4.73 · @12.50
3.29Expected goals
1.85Tijuana W xG
1.44Mazatlán W xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Tijuana W 1.8 – 1.4 Mazatlán W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Tijuana WMazatlán W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average-20%-14%
Goals conceded vs average+22%-8%
Our expected goals here1.371.72

Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTijuana W to win ✓59%1.701.21
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betTijuana W (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapMazatlán W +1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.501.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.861.91
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.391.40
First team to scoreTijuana W to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tijuana W / FT Tijuana W ✓29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Tijuana W – last 6

LDWWLW
3 Aprvs Tigres UANL W0–2L
30 Marvs Guadalajara W1–1D
22 Mar@ Querétaro W3–0W
18 Marvs Pumas UNAM W2–1W
13 Mar@ Pachuca W0–2L
22 Febvs León W2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mazatlán W – last 6

LLLWLW
6 Aprvs Atlético San Luis W0–1L
3 Apr@ Guadalajara W0–1L
28 Marvs Toluca W2–3L
17 Mar@ León W3–1W
13 Marvs Monterrey W0–2L
22 Feb@ Puebla W2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tijuana W and Mazatlán W.

Tijuana W vs Mazatlán W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tijuana W vs Mazatlán W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Tijuana W vs Mazatlán W?

On our numbers Tijuana W have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mazatlán W 21%.

How many goals will there be in Tijuana W vs Mazatlán W?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tijuana W vs Mazatlán W?

Our predicted score is Tijuana W 2–1 Mazatlán W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Tijuana W vs Mazatlán W?

Tijuana W vs Mazatlán W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.