Cruz Azul W 52%Draw 22%Pumas UNAM W 26%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.45
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul W to win52% · @1.66
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.88
Cruz Azul W vs Pumas UNAM W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 April the Liga MX Femenil brings Cruz Azul W against Pumas UNAM W at Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1. Kick-off: 22:45 WAT. In the table, Cruz Azul W are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Pumas UNAM W are 9th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cruz Azul W, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Toluca W, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pumas UNAM W, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Puebla W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Pumas UNAM W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul W 1.9 xG, Pumas UNAM W 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul W 52%, draw 22%, Pumas UNAM W 26%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul W 2–1 Pumas UNAM W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul W52%fair 1.92 · @1.66
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.00
Pumas UNAM W26%fair 3.89 · @4.55
3.35Expected goals
1.90Cruz Azul W xG
1.45Pumas UNAM W xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul W 1.9 – 1.4 Pumas UNAM W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul W
Pumas UNAM W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-13%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.50
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul W to win
52%
1.92
1.66
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.55
1.45
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul W (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Pumas UNAM W +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.28
First team to score
Cruz Azul W to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul W ahead at half-time
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul W / FT Cruz Azul W
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul W – last 6
WLWWWD
5 Apr
@ Toluca W
4–0
W
2 Apr
@ Atlético San Luis W
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Santos Laguna W
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Atlas W
6–4
W
15 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pumas UNAM W – last 6
DLWLLL
5 Apr
vs Puebla W
2–2
D
2 Apr
@ Monterrey W
0–3
L
28 Mar
vs León W
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Tijuana W
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Toluca W
2–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul W and Pumas UNAM W.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Cruz Azul W vs Pumas UNAM W?
On our numbers Cruz Azul W have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pumas UNAM W 26%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul W vs Pumas UNAM W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul W 2–1 Pumas UNAM W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Cruz Azul W vs Pumas UNAM W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 22:45 (West Africa Time) at Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0