Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Las Vegas Lights travel to face El Paso Locomotive on Sunday 5 April in the USL Championship, with Southwest University Park the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 11th (in the drop zone) with 36. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over New Mexico United, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.6 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Las Vegas Lights, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Monterey Bay, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.3 for Las Vegas Lights.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.9 xG, Las Vegas Lights 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 55%, draw 24%, Las Vegas Lights 21%.
Lower-risk option: El Paso Locomotive or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive55%fair 1.83 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.45
Las Vegas Lights21%fair 4.71 · @4.00
2.98Expected goals
1.88El Paso Locomotive xG
1.10Las Vegas Lights xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.9 – 1.1 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Paso Locomotive
Las Vegas Lights
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.85
1.09
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Double chance
El Paso Locomotive or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Las Vegas Lights +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
El Paso Locomotive to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
El Paso Locomotive ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
El Paso Locomotive – last 5
WWWWD
2 Apr
@ New Mexico United
4–0
W
29 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Laredo Heat
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Monterey Bay
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Colorado Springs
2–2
D
2.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 3
WLD
29 Mar
vs Monterey Bay
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ FC Tulsa
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Orange County SC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Vegas Lights 21%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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