Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Indy Eleven welcome Pittsburgh Riverhounds to Michael A. Carroll Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 5 April (00:00 WAT). In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th (upper half) with 45.
Current form
Indy Eleven, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Union Omaha, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Virginia Dream, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.2 xG, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 35%, draw 29%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven35%fair 2.84 · @2.38
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @3.10
Pittsburgh Riverhounds36%fair 2.80 · @2.75
2.50Expected goals
1.21Indy Eleven xG
1.29Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.2 – 1.3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Indy Eleven
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Attack vs USL Championship average
-20%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-31%
Our expected goals here
0.84
0.97
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
36%
2.80
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Pittsburgh Riverhounds (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Indy Eleven +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Indy Eleven – last 3
LWW
1 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Des Moines Menace
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WWWLLW
1 Apr
vs Virginia Dream
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Sporting JAX
3–2
W
26 Mar
vs Steel City
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Loudoun United
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 36%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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