Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHartford Athletic to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hartford Athletic welcome El Paso Locomotive to Trinity Health Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 12 April (00:00 WAT). In the table, Hartford Athletic are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50.
Current form
Hartford Athletic, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rhode Island, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Las Vegas Lights, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Hartford Athletic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 1.4 xG, El Paso Locomotive 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 42%, draw 25%, El Paso Locomotive 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: El Paso Locomotive to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartford Athletic42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
El Paso Locomotive33%fair 3.00 · @3.20
2.73Expected goals
1.45Hartford Athletic xG
1.29El Paso Locomotive xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.4 – 1.3 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hartford Athletic
El Paso Locomotive
Attack vs USL Championship average
+6%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.31
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartford Athletic to win✗
42%
2.40
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Hartford Athletic (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
El Paso Locomotive +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Hartford Athletic to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Hartford Athletic – last 5
LWWDW
2 Apr
@ Rhode Island
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Brooklyn
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ FC Motown
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Birmingham Legion
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Sporting JAX
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Apr
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
2 Apr
@ New Mexico United
4–0
W
29 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Laredo Heat
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Monterey Bay
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Colorado Springs
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartford Athletic and El Paso Locomotive.
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and El Paso Locomotive 33%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Monterey Bay1
Lexington1
Oakland Roots2
FC Tulsa0
Orange County SC1
San Antonio0
Phoenix Rising3
New Mexico United0
Las Vegas Lights1
Sacramento Republic1