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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tampa Bay Rowdies v Oakland Roots: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Al Lang Stadium
2–2
FT
Tampa Bay Rowdies 58%Draw 24%Oakland Roots 18% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.85
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗58% · @1.60
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oakland Roots travel to face Tampa Bay Rowdies on Sunday 12 April in the USL Championship, with Al Lang Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Oakland Roots are 10th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sporting JAX, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Oakland Roots, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Orange County SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Oakland Roots.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.6 xG, Oakland Roots 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 58%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Oakland Roots. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tampa Bay Rowdies58%fair 1.72 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.75
Oakland Roots18%fair 5.57 · @4.75
2.49Expected goals
1.65Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.85Oakland Roots xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.6 – 0.8 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Tampa Bay RowdiesOakland Roots
Attack vs USL Championship average+12%-2%
Goals conceded vs average-25%-6%
Our expected goals here1.580.89

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗58%1.721.60
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓82%1.221.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.75
Draw no betTampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapOakland Roots +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreTampa Bay Rowdies to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗35%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.54–

Recent results

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 5

WWWWW
5 Apr@ Sporting JAX1–0W
29 Marvs Loudoun United3–1W
22 Marvs Pittsburgh Riverhounds3–0W
8 Mar@ Birmingham Legion1–0W
19 Febvs Naples3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Oakland Roots – last 4

LDWW
29 Marvs Orange County SC0–1L
22 Mar@ Phoenix Rising2–2D
15 Marvs New Mexico United2–1W
8 Mar@ Monterey Bay1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Oakland Roots.

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?

On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oakland Roots 18%.

How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?

Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.