Lexington vs Rhode Island: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lexington welcome Rhode Island to Toyota Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 12 April (00:00 WAT). In the table, Lexington are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 30 matches; Rhode Island are 7th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Lexington, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Louisville City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rhode Island, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hartford Athletic, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rhode Island, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Lexington.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lexington 1.5 xG, Rhode Island 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington 47%, draw 25%, Rhode Island 27%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington 1–1 Rhode Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lexington47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Rhode Island27%fair 3.64 · @3.20
2.61Expected goals
1.54Lexington xG
1.07Rhode Island xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lexington 1.5 – 1.1 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lexington
Rhode Island
Attack vs USL Championship average
+45%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.71
1.13
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lexington to win✗
47%
2.11
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Lexington (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Rhode Island +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Lexington to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lexington / FT Lexington✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Lexington – last 6
LLWWDL
2 Apr
vs Louisville City
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ San Antonio
0–2
L
26 Mar
vs Brooklyn
3–0
W
20 Mar
vs Flower City Union
9–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sacramento Republic
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs Louisville City
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rhode Island – last 3
WLW
2 Apr
vs Hartford Athletic
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Miami FC
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Faialense
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lexington and Rhode Island.
What is the prediction for Lexington vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lexington vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Lexington have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rhode Island 27%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Lexington 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs Rhode Island?
Lexington vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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