Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLouisville City to win ✗55% · @1.48
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✗80% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pittsburgh Riverhounds travel to face Louisville City on Sunday 10 May in the USL Championship, with Lynn Family Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Louisville City are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th (upper half) with 45. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Louisville City, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Detroit City, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Phoenix Rising, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Louisville City 1.6 xG, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Louisville City 55%, draw 25%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 20%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louisville City 1–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Louisville City55%fair 1.81 · @1.48
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.90
Pittsburgh Riverhounds20%fair 4.96 · @6.00
2.57Expected goals
1.59Louisville City xG
0.98Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Louisville City 1.6 – 1.0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Louisville City
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Attack vs USL Championship average
+17%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-31%
Our expected goals here
1.22
0.92
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✗
55%
1.81
1.48
Double chance
Louisville City or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Louisville City (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Pittsburgh Riverhounds +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Louisville City to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Louisville City – last 6
LDWWDW
2 May
@ Detroit City
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Fort Wayne
3–1
W
15 Apr
vs Austin
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Loudoun United
3–3
D
2 Apr
@ Lexington
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
LWWLDW
3 May
vs Phoenix Rising
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Virginia Dream
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louisville City and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 20%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Louisville City 1–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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