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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Phoenix Rising v San Antonio: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Wild Horse Pass Stadium

Phoenix Rising

WLWLW
1–1
FT

San Antonio

DWDLD
Phoenix Rising 43%Draw 27%San Antonio 30% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.07
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the USL Championship brings Phoenix Rising against San Antonio at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Phoenix Rising are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 30 matches; San Antonio are 6th (upper half) with 45.

Current form

Phoenix Rising, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

San Antonio, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Colorado Springs, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended San Antonio 2–1 Phoenix Rising.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.3 xG, San Antonio 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 43%, draw 27%, San Antonio 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–1 San Antonio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Phoenix Rising43%fair 2.30 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.20
San Antonio30%fair 3.35 · @3.10
2.39Expected goals
1.33Phoenix Rising xG
1.07San Antonio xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.3 – 1.1 San Antonio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Phoenix RisingSan Antonio
Attack vs USL Championship average+15%-24%
Goals conceded vs average+14%-26%
Our expected goals here1.281.05

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhoenix Rising to win ✗43%2.302.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.73
Draw no betPhoenix Rising (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapSan Antonio +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scorePhoenix Rising to score first ✗50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Phoenix Rising – last 6

WLWLWL
3 May@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0W
26 Aprvs Colorado Springs0–1L
19 Apr@ Miami FC3–0W
16 Apr@ San Jose Earthquakes0–2L
12 Aprvs New Mexico United3–0W
5 Apr@ Sacramento Republic0–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Antonio – last 6

DWDLDD
3 Mayvs Colorado Springs3–3D
19 Apr@ El Paso Locomotive3–2W
12 Aprvs Miami FC0–0D
9 Apr@ Orange County SC0–2L
5 Apr@ Monterey Bay0–0D
2 Aprvs FC Tulsa0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026San Antonio v Phoenix Rising2–1
Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub
FT Brooklyn0 Loudoun United1 138%2.25X24%3.35238%2.80 1.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Hartford Athletic2 Detroit City1 138%2.30X29%3.10233%2.90 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Indy Eleven2 Sporting JAX1 162%1.64X22%3.75216%4.50 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Louisville City0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds2 155%1.48X25%3.90220%6.00 1.6–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Rhode Island1 Tampa Bay Rowdies1 134%2.85X27%3.25239%2.25 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT New Mexico United3 Las Vegas Lights1 159%1.73X22%3.65218%4.10 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Oakland Roots2 El Paso Locomotive1 138%2.33X25%3.50237%2.60 1.5–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Antonio 30%.

How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 San Antonio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio?

Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.