Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Rhode Island v Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship, played at Centreville Bank Stadium. In the table, Rhode Island are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rhode Island, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Birmingham Legion, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Indy Eleven, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Rhode Island.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rhode Island 1.2 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rhode Island 34%, draw 27%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rhode Island 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rhode Island34%fair 2.93 · @2.85
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.25
Tampa Bay Rowdies39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
2.47Expected goals
1.20Rhode Island xG
1.26Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.2 – 1.3 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rhode Island
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack vs USL Championship average
-7%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.05
1.07
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✗
39%
2.59
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Draw no bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Rhode Island +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Rhode Island – last 6
LDWWWL
3 May
vs Birmingham Legion
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Lexington
3–1
W
2 Apr
vs Hartford Athletic
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Miami FC
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
WWDWWW
3 May
vs Indy Eleven
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Oakland Roots
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Loudoun United
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Rhode Island vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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