Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗50% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Birmingham Legion welcome Las Vegas Lights to Protective Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 14 June (01:00 WAT). In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 11th (in the drop zone) with 36.
Current form
Birmingham Legion, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Corpus Christi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Las Vegas Lights, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oakland Roots, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 1.7 xG, Las Vegas Lights 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 50%, draw 21%, Las Vegas Lights 28%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham Legion50%fair 1.98 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.60
Las Vegas Lights28%fair 3.56 · @3.30
2.93Expected goals
1.66Birmingham Legion xG
1.27Las Vegas Lights xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.7 – 1.3 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Birmingham Legion
Las Vegas Lights
Attack vs USL Championship average
-2%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.63
1.41
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
50%
1.98
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Draw no bet
Birmingham Legion (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Las Vegas Lights +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Birmingham Legion to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Birmingham Legion – last 6
WDLDWL
10 Jun
vs Corpus Christi
3–0
W
4 Jun
vs Louisville City
1–1
D
24 May
@ Monterey Bay
0–2
L
8 May
vs Miami FC
0–0
D
3 May
@ Rhode Island
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
LDWLLW
7 Jun
vs Oakland Roots
0–2
L
31 May
vs FC Tulsa
0–0
D
24 May
vs Colorado Springs
2–0
W
18 May
@ Spokane Velocity
0–1
L
10 May
@ New Mexico United
1–3
L
3 May
vs Lexington
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Las Vegas Lights 28%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington2
San Antonio0
FC Tulsa1
Colorado Springs0
Sacramento Republic1
El Paso Locomotive1
Phoenix Rising1