Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗62% · @1.40
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✗85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 14 June: Tampa Bay Rowdies v Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship, played at Al Lang Stadium. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Hartford Athletic are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Charleston Battery, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Hartford Athletic, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over NY Cosmos, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Hartford Athletic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.7 xG, Hartford Athletic 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 62%, draw 23%, Hartford Athletic 15%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Hartford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies62%fair 1.62 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.90
Hartford Athletic15%fair 6.61 · @7.40
2.50Expected goals
1.69Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.82Hartford Athletic xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.7 – 0.8 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Hartford Athletic
Attack vs USL Championship average
+12%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.63
0.97
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✗
62%
1.62
1.40
Double chance
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Hartford Athletic +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–2
D
7 Jun
@ Sporting JAX
2–0
W
31 May
@ Louisville City
2–0
W
24 May
vs Phoenix Rising
3–0
W
21 May
@ New Mexico United
1–0
W
17 May
@ Miami FC
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic – last 6
WDLWWD
7 Jun
@ NY Cosmos
4–1
W
31 May
vs New Mexico United
0–0
D
23 May
@ FC Tulsa
0–2
L
17 May
@ Brooklyn
2–0
W
10 May
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Rhode Island
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Hartford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hartford Athletic 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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