Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 14 June the USL Championship brings El Paso Locomotive against Phoenix Rising at Southwest University Park. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Detroit City, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Louisville City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.8 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 45%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.65
Phoenix Rising32%fair 3.10 · @2.85
3.14Expected goals
1.79El Paso Locomotive xG
1.35Phoenix Rising xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.8 – 1.4 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Paso Locomotive
Phoenix Rising
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.89
1.25
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✗
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Draw no bet
El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Phoenix Rising +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
El Paso Locomotive to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
DLLWLD
11 Jun
@ Detroit City
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Colorado Springs
1–2
L
31 May
vs Lexington
1–4
L
28 May
vs Alta
2–0
W
10 May
@ Oakland Roots
1–2
L
7 May
@ New Mexico United
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Phoenix Rising – last 6
LLWLWD
11 Jun
vs Louisville City
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ New Mexico United
0–4
L
31 May
vs Sacramento Republic
2–0
W
24 May
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
17 May
vs Orange County SC
2–1
W
10 May
vs San Antonio
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Phoenix Rising 32%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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