Lexington vs San Antonio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 14 June: Lexington v San Antonio in the USL Championship, played at Toyota Stadium. In the table, Lexington are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 30 matches; San Antonio are 6th (upper half) with 45. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lexington, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over El Paso Locomotive, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
San Antonio, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Tulsa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended San Antonio 2–0 Lexington.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lexington 1.7 xG, San Antonio 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington 54%, draw 23%, San Antonio 23%.
Lower-risk option: Lexington or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lexington or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington 1–0 San Antonio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lexington54%fair 1.85 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.40
San Antonio23%fair 4.39 · @3.35
2.63Expected goals
1.66Lexington xG
0.97San Antonio xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lexington 1.7 – 1.0 San Antonio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lexington
San Antonio
Attack vs USL Championship average
+45%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.62
0.93
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Lexington vs San Antonio?
Our pick is Lexington or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lexington vs San Antonio?
On our numbers Lexington have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Antonio 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs San Antonio?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs San Antonio?
Our predicted score is Lexington 1–0 San Antonio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs San Antonio?
Lexington vs San Antonio (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.