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Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Indy Eleven: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Highmark Stadium
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 54%Draw 27%Indy Eleven 19% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.84
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✓54% · @1.80
Double chancePittsburgh Riverhounds or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 14 June: Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Indy Eleven in the USL Championship, played at Highmark Stadium. In the table, Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34.

Current form

Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Miami FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Indy Eleven, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Forward Madison, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Indy Eleven 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.5 xG, Indy Eleven 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 54%, draw 27%, Indy Eleven 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw (81%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pittsburgh Riverhounds54%fair 1.85 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.45
Indy Eleven19%fair 5.15 · @3.85
2.38Expected goals
1.54Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
0.84Indy Eleven xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.5 – 0.8 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsIndy Eleven
Attack vs USL Championship average-24%-20%
Goals conceded vs average-31%+4%
Our expected goals here1.190.68

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✓54%1.851.80
Double chancePittsburgh Riverhounds or draw ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.67
Draw no betPittsburgh Riverhounds (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapIndy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.401.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scorePittsburgh Riverhounds to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds ✗32%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.84–

Recent results

Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6

WWLWWL
31 Mayvs Miami FC2–0W
10 May@ Louisville City2–0W
3 Mayvs Phoenix Rising0–1L
26 Aprvs Greenville Triumph3–0W
19 Aprvs Detroit City2–1W
16 Apr@ New York Red Bulls1–3L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Indy Eleven – last 6

WWWWLL
7 Junvs Forward Madison2–0W
31 Mayvs Rhode Island1–0W
24 Mayvs Lexington3–1W
10 Mayvs Sporting JAX2–1W
3 May@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–1L
26 Aprvs Union Omaha1–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Indy Eleven v Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Indy Eleven 19%.

How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.