New Mexico United 61%Draw 22%Orange County SC 17%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.86
83%
Betarazi pick
New Mexico United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: New Mexico United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceNew Mexico United or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New Mexico United welcome Orange County SC to Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 14 June (02:30 WAT). In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; Orange County SC are 9th (lower half) with 39. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Phoenix Rising, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Orange County SC, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Alta, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New Mexico United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Orange County SC.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Orange County SC 0–1 New Mexico United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 2.0 xG, Orange County SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 61%, draw 22%, Orange County SC 17%.
Lower-risk option: New Mexico United or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: New Mexico United to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was New Mexico United or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–0 Orange County SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Orange County SC17%fair 5.90 · @3.55
2.84Expected goals
1.98New Mexico United xG
0.86Orange County SC xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 2.0 – 0.9 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
New Mexico United
Orange County SC
Attack vs USL Championship average
+23%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+30%
Our expected goals here
2.42
0.91
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is New Mexico United or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orange County SC 17%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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