Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultLas Vegas Lights to win ✗38% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:30 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Las Vegas Lights v El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship, played at Cashman Field. In the table, Las Vegas Lights are 11th, in the drop zone, on 36 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Las Vegas Lights, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Orange County SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Monterey Bay, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended El Paso Locomotive 3–2 Las Vegas Lights.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Vegas Lights 1.5 xG, El Paso Locomotive 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Vegas Lights 38%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Vegas Lights38%fair 2.63 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.50
El Paso Locomotive38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
3.06Expected goals
1.50Las Vegas Lights xG
1.56El Paso Locomotive xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.5 – 1.6 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Las Vegas Lights
El Paso Locomotive
Attack vs USL Championship average
-1%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.34
1.49
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and El Paso Locomotive 38%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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