Value bet: New Mexico United to win @ 2.33 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓46% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.45
New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New Mexico United welcome Oakland Roots to Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 5 July (02:30 WAT). In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; Oakland Roots are 10th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Atlante FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Oakland Roots, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Phoenix Rising, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours New Mexico United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Oakland Roots.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Oakland Roots 2–1 New Mexico United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.6 xG, Oakland Roots 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 46%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: New Mexico United to win @2.33 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–1 Oakland Roots. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United46%fair 2.17 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.50
Oakland Roots30%fair 3.33 · @2.60
2.75Expected goals
1.65New Mexico United xG
1.10Oakland Roots xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.6 – 1.1 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
New Mexico United
Oakland Roots
Attack vs USL Championship average
+23%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.75
0.93
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oakland Roots 30%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots?
New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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