Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hartford Athletic travel to face Louisville City on Sunday 5 July in the USL Championship, with Lynn Family Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Louisville City are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Hartford Athletic are 6th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Louisville City, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Detroit City, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Hartford Athletic, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pittsburgh Riverhounds, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Hartford Athletic, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Louisville City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Louisville City 1.7 xG, Hartford Athletic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Louisville City 54%, draw 23%, Hartford Athletic 22%.
Lower-risk option: Louisville City or draw (78%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louisville City 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Louisville City54%fair 1.84 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.80
Hartford Athletic22%fair 4.48 · @4.50
2.81Expected goals
1.71Louisville City xG
1.11Hartford Athletic xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Louisville City 1.7 – 1.1 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Louisville City
Hartford Athletic
Attack vs USL Championship average
+17%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.70
1.28
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✓
54%
1.84
1.64
Double chance
Louisville City or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Louisville City (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Hartford Athletic +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Louisville City to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Louisville City – last 6
DDWDLL
20 Jun
@ Detroit City
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs Brooklyn
2–2
D
11 Jun
@ Phoenix Rising
2–0
W
4 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
31 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–2
L
24 May
@ Miami FC
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic – last 6
DWWDLW
21 Jun
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ NY Cosmos
4–1
W
31 May
vs New Mexico United
0–0
D
23 May
@ FC Tulsa
0–2
L
17 May
@ Brooklyn
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louisville City and Hartford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hartford Athletic 22%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Louisville City 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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